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BBS Trading Expert
Watch the Youtube BBS video and here is a crude oil trading example
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Good money and risk management is more important than the correct application of technical analysis! With good money management you survive much longer in the stock market, even with a number of trading failures in a row. With good risk management you also make sure that the risk/reward ratio is in your favor at least with a ratio 1 to 3.
Good money and risk management limits as much as possible losses in losing trades and makes as much as possible profit in the winning trades. Assume you are trading based on daily charts, you buy a stock and sell it when the stock drops more than 3% below the buying price. Unfortunately limiting losses is not that easy! In this example, the result will most probably be too many losing trades and losing all of your money at the end.
How much loss you need to accept will be proportional to how much profit you want to make in a certain period of time. Only accepting 2% loss and a 5% profit target could be possible when using hourly charts. Looking at the medium term and using daily charts however, loss will be more in the range of 10% with a profit target in the order of 25%.
Also do not forget that behind every stock there is a company that can go broke! So, you may lose all your money investing it in one stock only.
Good money management means:
Good risk management means:
Keep an initial stop based on:
Keep a trailing stop for maximum profit based on:
A first money management method would be to trade in a limited number of stocks out of an unlimited list of stocks.
A second method, we will discuss later on, would be to trade a fixed, limited number of stocks.
A $25,000 starting capital, could be used to invest in 10 stocks any moment in time, limiting the capital per stock to $2,500.
Keeping an average loss per stock of 10% or $250 would only be a 1% loss in relation to the total capital.
Special offer: "Capturing Profit with technical Analysis"
Of course you would have to calculate your buying power with each purchase in relation to your cash value and the value of the stocks in the portfolio. You could use the following spread sheet for this:
Look in the "Capturing Profit with Technical Analysis" book for this spread sheet...
Let’s apply this system and calculate each time the maximum allowed buying value for each contract. Next, we assume the most negative scenario. Each of the 10 contracts ends up as a losing trade with a 10% loss. This even happens 10 times in a row. A total of 100 consecutive losing trades
Crash resistant? |
10 contracts investment |
10 contracts losing trades |
Remaining amount |
Starting value |
25000 |
|
|
Trade_1 |
23904 |
2390 |
22610 |
Trade_2 |
21618 |
2162 |
20448 |
Trade_3 |
19552 |
1955 |
18493 |
Trade_4 |
17682 |
1768 |
16725 |
Trade_5 |
15994 |
1599 |
15126 |
Trade_6 |
14464 |
1446 |
13680 |
Trade_7 |
13080 |
1308 |
12372 |
Trade_8 |
11830 |
1183 |
11189 |
Trade_9 |
10699 |
1070 |
10119 |
Trade_10 |
9676 |
968 |
9151 |
Still there is a remaining capital of $9,151. It looks like good money management, you are surviving quite long and maybe the following trades will make up for all the losses! In the table you can see the remaining capital after each 10-stocks trade.
Money and Risk management Next --Part 1 -Part 2 -Part 3
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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.
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