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1>2<3 Wave Counting Application

123Waves Intro -Wave Indicator - Application

123-Wave Counting

To practice a little bit the 1>2<3 wave count we will use AA. Let's start from a valid wave 2 and assume the top before that was a first valid wave 3.1.

The next higher top is called 3.2, so we know there is a valid lower top before. 3.2 is followed by a valid wave 2 and once more by a higher top.

This new top is called 3.3.

wave counting


Once more a valid wave 2 is followed by a higher top 3.4.

The next wave 2 validity is broken when price reaction breaks the start of wave 3.4. Wave 2 changes to a wave 1 (2>1), most probably changing the trend direction.

After a wave 2 reaction we get a new low point, now a wave 3.1 to the downside.

The next wave 2 up reaction is no longer valid when it crosses the start of down wave 3.1. From that point it changes name to wave 1 (2>1).

But also the wave 2 reaction to this wave 1 becomes an invalid wave 2 when it drops below the starting point of the previous wave 1. Normally this wave 2 would become a new wave 1.

However, we have an exception to the rule here because the low drops beyond the previous wave 3.1 low. So, we have a new wave 3.2 low.

wave counting 2

Correction wave 2 is followed by a new low wave 3.3 and wave 3.4. The next wave 2 is invalid when it breaks the start of wave 3.4, the wave 2 becomes a new wave 1.

wave count 2

After the correction wave 2 we are making a new wave 3.1 to the upper side. The following top is a fraction lower than 3.1, meaning we have to renumber the expected 3 wave to a 2-wave and the previous 2-wave to a 1-wave. But, also the expected wave 3 down is incomplete turning up before making a low below the start of the previous wave. This now becomes a 2-wave and the previous one changes again (3>2>1). Finally we reach a higher top with a wave 3.2.

wave count 4

These are the 123 wave rules for swing trading with STS8 for a long (short) position:

Either you are expecting an up (down) wave 3.
OR
You are expecting a wave 2 up (down) to become a wave 1 after a larger series of 123-waves and a larger price drop (rise) in a down (up) move.
OR
You are expecting a wave 2 up (down) after a large previous wave 3 down (up), where a price reaction to this wave 3 has sufficient price reaction only room for making a profit.

 

For all the basic techniques, please consult my book “Capturing Profit with Technical Analysis”, published by MarketPlace Books and available HERE


123Waves Intro -Wave Indicator - Application

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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